Decomposition of Natural Gas Intensity in Energy-Intensive Industries in Iran

Lotfali AGHELI, Fatemeh ABDI

Abstract


Abstract. Natural gas is main energy carrier used across industrial sector in Iran. The macro-level policy is to substitute natural gas for other oil products due to environmental and economic impacts. In this article, the natural gas intensity in energy-intensive industries is decomposed into output, structural and pure intensity effects in Iran during the period 1971 to 2011. The increasing share of value added as a proxy for structural changes represents a significant impact on reducing natural gas intensity. The output effect is of the high estmagnitude in changing natural gas consumption, and the pure intensity and structural effects rank the second and third in terms of the overall change in natural gas use, respectively.

Keywords. Decomposition, Output effect, Structural effect, Energy-intensive manufacturing sector.

JEL. C02, L60, Q41.


Keywords


Decomposition, Output effect, Structural effect, Energy-intensive manufacturing sector

Full Text:


References


Adom, P.K., Bekoe, W., Amuakwa-Mensah, F., Mensah, J.T., & Botchway, E. (2012). Carbon dioxide emissions, economic growth, industrial structure, and technical efficiency: empirical evidence from Ghana, Senegal, and Morocco on the causal dynamics. Energy, 47, 314–325. doi. 10.1016/j.energy.2012.09.025

Al-Mulali, U., & Ozturk, I. (2015). The effect of energy consumption, urbanization, trade openness, industrial output, and the political stability on the environmental degradation in the MENA (Middle East and North African) region. Energy, 84(1), 382-389. doi. 10.1016/j.energy.2015.03.004

Ang B.W., & Lee, S.Y. (1994). Decomposition of industrial energy consumption: some methodological and application issues. Energy Economics, 16(2), 83–92. doi. 10.1016/0140-9883(94)90001-9.

Behboudi D., Aslaninia N.M., & Sojoodi S. (2010). Decomposition and determinants of energy intensity in Iran. Quarterly Energy Economics Review, 7(26), 105 - 130 ( in Persian).

Camioto, F.D.C., Mariano, E.B., & Rebelatto, D.A.D.N. (2014). Efficiency in Brazil's industrial sectors in terms of energy and sustainable development. Environmental Science and Policy, 37, 50-60. doi. 10.1016/j.envsci.2013.08.007

Central Bank of Iran. (2015). Economic trends, No. 80: First Quarter, 2015, Economic Research and Policy Department, Published by Public Relations Department, Available at: http://www.cbi.ir

Chengza, J., Yongfeng, Z., & Xia, Z. (2014). Prospects of and challenges to natural gas industry development in China. Natural Gas Industry B, 1(1), 1-13. doi. 10.1016/j.ngib.2014.10.001

Chi, K.C., Nuttall, W.J., & Reiner, D.M. (2009). Dynamics of the UK natural gas industry: System dynamics modelling and long-term energy policy analysis. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 76(3), 339-357. doi. 10.1016/j.techfore.2008.06.002

Gardner, D., & El-Khafif, M. (1998). Understanding Industrial Energy Use:Structural and Energy Intensity Changes in Ontario Industry. Energy Economics, 20(1), 29–41. doi. 10.1016/S0140-9883(97)00008-X.

Huang, J.P. (1993). Industrial Energy Use and Structural Change: A CaseStudy of the People's Republic of China. Energy Economics,15(2),131–136. doi. 10.1016/0140-9883(93)90032-M

Huntington, H. G. (2007). Industrial natural gas consumption in the United States: An empirical model for evaluating future trends. Energy Economics, 29(4), 743-759. doi. 10.1016/j.eneco.2006.12.005

International Monetary Fund (IMF)( 2014). IMF Country Report No. 14/94 (Islamic Republic of Iran), Available at: https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/scr/2014/cr1494.pdf

Iran Energy Efficiency Organization (IEEO-SABA) (2013). Standards of Energy intensive Processes. Available at: http://www.saba.org.ir/fa/energyinfo/standardbarchasb/energyindex.

Iran Ministry of Power. Iran Energy Balance Sheet, (2013). Vice Deputy for Power and Energy Affairs, Department of Macro Planning of Power.

Mi, Z.-F., Pan, S.-Y., Yu, H.,&Wei, Y.-M. (2015). Potential impacts of industrial structure on energy consumption and CO2 emission: a case study of Beijing. Journal of Cleaner Production,103, 455-462. doi. 10.1016/j.jclepro.2014.06.011

National Iranian Gas Company(NIGC) (2010). The picture of gas industry in Iran. Availabe at: http://www.nigc.ir/Portal/home/showpage.aspx?object=News&categoryid=646f0a65-1cdc-432a-83c1-3b1703a505e7&layoutid=e764d5c9-77cf-4489-87ab-eabdbbae8d95

Palomino, R.G., & Nebra, S.A. (2012). The potential of natural gas use including cogeneration in large-sized industry and commercial sector in Peru. Energy Policy, 50, 192-206. doi. 10.1016/j.enpol.2012.04.054

Parikh, J., Purohit, P., & Maitra, P. (2007). Demand projections of petroleum products and natural gas in India. Energy Economics, 32(10), 1825–1837. doi. 10.1016/j.energy.2007.02.008

Plan and Budget Organization (1996). General policies, strategies and goals of the second five-year economic, social and cultural development plan of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Center for Socio-Economic Documentation and Publications. Available at: http://mpb.mporg.ir/portal/File/ShowFile.aspx?ID=7a142adc-afc9-4e94-9b16-44a63b3a7e8e

Reddy, B.S., & Ray, B.K. (2010). Decomposition ofEnergy Consumption and Energy Intensity in Indian ManufacturingIndustries. Energy forSustainable Development, 14(1), 35–47. doi. 10.1016/j.esd.2009.12.001

Statistical Centre of Iran (SCI). Survey on Manufacturing Establishments with 10 and More Workers. Various issues. Available at: http://www.amar.org.ir




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1453/jepe.v3i1.643

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.




.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................

Journal of Economics and Political Economy - J. Econ. Pol. Econ. - JEPE - www.kspjournals.org

ISSN: 2148-8347

Editor: jepe@ksplibrary.org   Secretarial: secretarial@ksplibrary.org   Istanbul - Turkey.

Copyright © KSP Library