Stock Market Development, Bank Concentration, Ownership Structure, and Bank Performance: Evidence from Turkey

Hasan AYAYDIN, İbrahim KARAASLAN

Abstract


Abstract. Using the the Two-Step Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) described by Arellano and Bond (1991) for dynamic panels, this paper analyzes the profitability of 25 commercial banks in Turkey over the period from 2003 to 2011.Our profitability determinants include bank-specific characteristics as well as industry-specific and macroeconomic factors, some of which have not been considered in previous studies. We conclude that the high bank profitability during these years is associated with a large percentage of loans in total assets, a low proportion of liquid asset, good efficiency and a low doubtful assets ratio. In addition, higher capital ratios also increase the bank’s return, but only when return on assets and return on equities is used as the profitability measure. We find evidence of economies of scale in the Turkish banking sector. Empirical results show that there is a negative relationship between financial development and profitability. We find also there is a positive relationship between bank concentration and bank performance in Turkish banking industry, consisting with the structure-conduct-performance (SCP) hypothesis. The results also suggest that there is a negative relation between the foreign ownership and profitability, indicating that foreign banks do not in general make relatively higher profit, at least during the period under the consideration.

Keywords: Banking profitability, Stock markets, Concentration, Ownership, Turkey, GMM

JEL classification: G21, C32, E44.

Full Text:


References


Abreu, M.,  Mendes, V. (2002). Commercial bank ınterest margins and profitability: evidence from E.U. countries. Working Paper Series, Porto.

Agusman, A., Monroe, G.S., Gasbarro, D.,  Zumwalt, J.K. (2008). Accounting and capital market measures of risk: evidence from Asian banks during 1998–2003. Journal of Banking and Finance, 32(4), 480–488. (10.1016/j.jbankfin.2006.06.018).

Albertazzi, U.,  Gambacorta, L. (2009). Bank profitability and the business cycle. Journal of Financial Stability, 5(4), 393–409. (10.1016/j.jfs.2008.10.002).

Altıntas, H.  Ayrıcay, Y. (2010). Türkiye’de finansal gelişme ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisinin sınır testi yaklaşımıyla analizi: 1987–2007. Anadolu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 10(2), 71–98.

Altunbas, Y.S., Carbo, E., Gardener, P.M.,  Molyneux, P. (2007). Examining the relationships between capital, risk and efficiency in European banking. European Financial Management, 13(1), 49–70. (10.1111/j.1468-036X.2006.00285.x).

Angbazo, L. (1997). Commercial bank net interest margin, default risk, interest-rate risk, and off-balance sheet banking. Journal of Banking and Finance, 21(1), 55-87. (10.1016/S0378-4266(96)00025-8).

Arellano, M.,  Bond, S.R. (1991). Some test of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277-297. (10.2307/2297968).

Arellano, M.,  Bover, O. (1995). Another look at the instrumental-variable estimation of error-components models. Journal of Econometrics, 68(1), 29-52. (10.1016/0304-4076(94)01642-D).

Aslan, O.,  Kucukaksoy, I. (2006). Finansal gelişme ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: Türkiye ekonomisi üzerine ekonometrik bir uygulama. İstanbul Üniversitesi İktisat Fakültesi Ekonometri ve İstatistik Dergisi, 4, 12-28.

Ata, H.A. (2009). Kriz sonrası türkiye’de mevduat bankaları kârlılıgına etki eden faktörler. İşletme Fakültesi Dergisi, 10(2), 137-151.

Atasoy, H. (2007). Türk bankacılık sektöründe gelir-gider analizi ve kârlılık performansının belirleyicileri, Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası, Uzmanlık Yeterlilik Tezi, Ankara.

Athanasoglou, P., Brissimis, S.,  Delis, M. (2008). Bank-specific, industry-specific and macroeconomic determinants of bank profitability. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 18(2), 121–136. (10.1016/j.intfin.2006.07.001).

Baltagi, B.H. (2001). Econometric analysis of panel data. 2nd ed John Wiley & Sons, Chichester.

Belkhir, M. (2004). Board structure, ownership structure, and firm performance: evidence from banking, Applied Financial Economics. 19(9), 1581–1593. (0.1080/09603100902967561).

Belkhir, M. (2009). Board of directors’ size and performance in the banking industry. International Journal of Managerial Finance. 5(2), 201–221.

Berger, A. (1995). The profit–structure relationship in banking: tests of market-power and efficient-structure hypotheses. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 27(2), 404–431. (10.2307/2077876).

Berger, A., Hanweck, D.,  Humphrey, D.(1987). Competitive viability in banking: scale, scope, and product mix economies. Journal of Monetary Economics 20(3), 501–520.

Berger, A.N.,  Bouwman, C.H.S. (2013). How does capital affect bank performance during financial crises?. Journal of Financial Economics, 109(1), 146–176. (10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.02.008).

Bernanke, B.S.,  Gertler, M. (1989). Agency costs, net worth, and business fluctuations. The American Economic Review, 79, 14–31.

Bikker, J.,  Hu, H. (2002). Cyclical patterns in profits, provisioning and lending of banks and procyclicality of the new basel capital requirements. BNL Quarterly Review, 221, 143–175.

Blundell, R. W.,  Bond, S.R. (1998). Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models. Journal of Econometrics, 87, 115–143. (10.1016/S0304-4076(98)00009-8).

Bonin, J.P., Hasan, I.,  Wachtel, P. (2005a). Bank performance, efficiency and ownership in transition countries. Journal of Banking and Finance, 29, 31–53.

Bonin, J.P., Hasan, I.,  Wachtel, P. (2005b). Privatization matters: Bank efficiency in transition countries. Journal of Banking and Finance, 29, 2155–2178.

Bourke, P. (1989). Concentration and other determinants of bank profitability in europe, north america and australia. Journal of Banking & Finance, 13(1), 65-79. (10.1016/0378-4266(89)90020-4).

Chaudhry, M. A.,  Chatrath, K. R. (1995). Determinants of bank profitability American Journal of Business, 10(1), 41-46.

Chiorazzo, V., Milani, C.,  Salvini, F. (2008). Income diversification and bank performance: evidence from Italian banks. Journal of Financial Services Research, 33, 181–203. (10.1007/s10693-008-0029-4).

Chirwa, E.W. (2003). Determinants of commercial banks' profitability in Malawi: Acointegration approach. Applied Financial Economics, 13, 565–577. (10.1080/0960310022000020933).

Claeys, S.,  Vander Vennet, R. (2008). Determinants of bank interest margins in Central and Eastern Europe: a comparison with the West, Economic Systems, 32(2), 197–216. (10.1016/j.ecosys.2007.04.001).

Çerçi, G., Kandır, S.Y.,  Önal, Y.B. (2012). Bankalarda karlılık analizi: türk bankacılık sektörü üzerine bir uygulama. İMKB Dergisi, 13(50), 29-48.

Demerguç-Kunt, A.,  Huizinga, H. (2001). Financial structure and bank profitability in financial structure and economic growth: a cross-country comparison of banks, markets, and development. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.

Demirguc-Kunt, A.,  Huizinga, H. (1999). Determinants of commercial bank Interest margins and profitability: some international evidence. World Bank Economic Review, 13(2), 379–408.

Demirguc-Kunt, A.,  Huizinga, H. (2000). Financial structure and bank profitability. Policy Research Working Paper Series, 2430. The World Bank.

DeYoung, R.,  Rice, T. (2004). Non interest income and financial performance at US commercial banks. The Financial Review, 39, 101–127.

Dietrich, A.,  Wanzenried, G. (2011). Determinants of bank profitability before and during the crisis: evidence from Switzerland. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 21(3), 307–327. (10.1016/j.intfin.2010.11.002).

Drakos, K. (2003). Assessing the success of reform in transition banking 10 years later: an interest margins analysis. Journal of Policy Modeling, 25(3), 309–317. (10.1016/S0161-8938(03)00027-9).

Eken, M.H. (2005). Banka performansı ölçümüne risk ve karlılık yaklaşımı: Türkiye’de faal ticari bankalar örneği. İMKB Dergisi, 28(9), 17-40

Evanoff, D. D.  Fortier, D. L. (1988). Re-evaluation ofthe structure-conduct-performance paradigm in banking. Journal of Financial Services Research, 1, 249–60.

Fadzlan, S.,  Kahazanah, N. (2009). Determinants of bank profitability in a developing economy: empirical evidence from the China banking sector. Journal of Asia-Pacific Business, 10(4), 201-307.

Flamini, V., McDonald, C.,  Schumacher, L. (2009). The determinants of commercial bank profitability in sub-saharan Africa. IMF Working Paper 09/15, International Monetary Fund, Washington.

Fungacova, Z.,  Poghosyan, T. (2011). Determinants of bank interest margins in Russia: Does bank ownership matter?. Economic Systems, 35(4), 81–495. (10.1016/j.ecosys.2010.11.007).

García-Herrero, A., Gavilá, S.,  Santabárbara, D. (2009). What explains the low profitability of Chinese banks?. Journal of Banking and Finance, 33(11), 2080–2092.

Gillini, T., Smirlock, M.,  Marshall, W. (1984). Scale and scope economics in the multi-product banking firm. Journal of Monetary Economics, 13, 393–405.

Goddard et al., (2004). The profitability of European banks: a cross-sectional and dynamic panel analysis. Manchester School, 72, 363–381.

Goddard, J., Liu, H., Molyneux, P.,  Wilson, J. (2009). Do bank profits converge? Bangor Business School, Working Paper, BBSWP/10/004.

Grigorian, D.,  Manole, V. (2002). Determinants of commercial bank performance in transition: An application of data envelopment analysis. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 2850, June.

Gurel, E., Gurel, E. B. B.  Demir, N. (2012). Basel III Kriterleri. BSAD Bankacılık ve Sigortacılık Araştırmaları Dergisi, 1(3-4), 16-28.

Gündoğdu, F.,  Aksu, H. (2011). Mevduat bankacılığında karlılık ve makroekonomik değişkenler ilişkisi: türkiye üzerine bir uygulama. Atatürk Ü. İİBF Dergisi, 10. Ekonometri ve İstatistik Sempozyumu Özel Sayısı, 2011, 243-270.

Harris, R. D. F.,  TzavaliS, E. (1999). Inference for unit roots in dynamic panels where the time dimension is fixed. Journal of Econometrics 91(2), 201–226. (10.1016/S0304-4076(98)00076-1).

Heggestad, A.A.,  Mingo, J.J. (1974). Prices, nonprices, and concentration in selected banking markets. Proceedings of a Conference on Bank Structure and Competition. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Chicago, 69–95.

Hsiao, C. (1986). Analysis of panel data. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, New York.

Iannotta, G., Nocera, G.,  Sironi, A. (2007). Ownership structure, risk and performance in the European banking industry. Journal of Banking and Finance, 31(7), 2127–2149. (10.1016/j.jbankfin.2006.07.013).

Im, K. S., Pesaran, M. H.,  Y. Shin. (2003). Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics, 115(1), 53–74. (10.1016/S0304-4076(03)00092-7).

Iskenderoglu, O., Karadeniz, E.,  Atioglu, E. (2012). Türk bankacılık sektöründe büyüme, büyüklük ve sermaye yapısı kararlarının karlılığa etkisinin analizi. Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, 7(1), 291-311

Jokipii, T.,  Milne, A. (2011). Bank capital buffer and risk adjustment decisions. Journal of Financial Stability, 7(3), 165–178. (10.1016/j.jfs.2010.02.002).

Kanas, A., Vasiliou, D.,  Eriotis, N. (2012). Revisiting bank profitability: A semi-parametric approach. Int. Fin. Markets, Inst. and Money, 22(4), 990– 1005. (10.1016/j.intfin.2011.10.003).

Kasman, A. (2010). Consolidation and commercial bank net interest margins: evidence from the old and new European union members and candidate countries. Economic Modeling, 27(3), 648–655. (10.1016/j.econmod.2010.01.004).

Kaya, Y. T. (2002). Türk Bankacılık Sektöründe Kârlılıgın Belirleyicileri: 1997-2000. BDDK Mali Sektör Politikası Dairesi Çalısma Raporları, 2002/1.

Kosmidou, K. (2008). The determinants of banks’ profits in greece during the period of eu financial integration. Managerial Finance, 34(3), 146–159.

Kosmidou, K., Pasiouras, F.,  Tsaklanganos, A. (2005). Factors Influencing the profits and size of Greek banks operating abroad: a pooled time-series study. Applied Financial Economics, 15, 731–738. (10.1080/09603100500107677).

Kosmidou, K., Pasiouras, F.,  Tsaklanganos, A. (2007). Domestic and multinational determinants of foreign bank profits: The case of greek banks operating abroad. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 17(1), 1-15. (10.1016/j.mulfin.2006.02.002).

Lee, C. C.  Hsieh, M. F. (2013). The impact of bank capital on profitability and risk in Asian Banking. Journal of International Money and Finance, 32, 251–281. (10.1016/j.jimonfin.2012.04.013).

Martinez P., Maria S.,  Ashoka, M. (2004). How foreign participation and market concentration ımpact bank spreads: evidence from latin america. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 36(3), 511-537.

Maudos, J.,  de Guevara, J. F. (2004). Factors explaining the interest margin in the banking sectors of the European Union. Journal of Banking and Finance, 28, 2259–2281.

McConnell, J. J.,  Servaes, H. (1990). Additional evidence on equity ownership and corporate value. Journal of Financial Economics, 27(2), 595–612. 10.1016/0304-405X(90)90069-C).

Miller, S. M.,  Noulas, A. G. (1997). Portfolio mix and large-bank profitability in the USA. Applied Economics, 29(4), 505–512.

Molyneux, P.,  Thornton, J. (1992). Determinants of european bank profitability: a note. Journal of Banking and Finance, 16(6), 1173–1178. (0.1016/0378-4266(92)90065-8).

Naceur, S.,  Goaied, M. (2008). The determinants of commercial bank interest margin and profitability: evidence from Tunisia. Frontiers in Finance and Economics, 5(1), 106–130.

Naceur, S. B.,  Omran, M. (2011). The effects of bank regulations, competition, and financial reforms on banks' performance. Emerging Markets Review, 12(1), 1–20. (10.1016/j.ememar.2010.08.002).

Pasiouras, F.,  Kosmidou, K. (2007). Factors influencing the profitability of domestic and foreign commercial banks in the European Union. Research in International Business and Finance, 21(2), 222–237. (10.1016/j.ribaf.2006.03.007).

Perry, P. (1992). Do banks gain or lose from inflation?. Journal of Retail Banking, 14, 25–30.

Qi, D. Wu, W.  Zhang, H. (2000). Shareholding structure and corporate of partially privatized firms: evidence from chinese companies. Pasific-Basin Journal, 8, 587-610.

Roodman, D. (2006). How to do xtabond2: an introduction to difference and system GMM in Stata. Working Paper No. 103, Center for Global Development, Washington, DC.

Rose, S. A.,  Fraser, D. R. (1976). The relationship between stability and change in market structure: an analysis of bank prices. Journal of Industrial Economics, 24(4), 251–266. (10.2307/2098157).

Samad, A. (2005). Banking structure and performance: evidence from Utah. Review of Business Research, 2, 151–156.

Saunders, A.,  Schumacher, L. (2000). The determinants of bank interest rate margins: an international study. Journal of International Money and Finance, 19(6), 813–832. (10.1016/S0261-5606(00)00033-4).

Short, B. K. (1979). The relation between commercial bank profit rates and banking concentration in Canada, Western Europe and Japan. Journal of Banking and Finance, 3(3), 209–219. (10.1016/0378-4266(79)90016-5).

Smirlock, M. (1985). Evidence on the (non) relationship between concentration and profitability in banking. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 17(1), 69–83. (10.2307/1992507).

Tatoglu, Y. T. (2012). İleri panel veri analizi stata uygulamalı, Beta Yayınları, İstanbul.

Trujillo-Ponce, A. (2013). What determines the profitability of banks? Evidence from Spain. Accounting and Finance, 53(2), 561-586. (10.1111/j.1467-629X.2011.00466.x).

Westman, H. (2011). The impact of management and board ownership on profitability in banks with different strategies. Journal of Banking and Finance, 35(12), 3300– 3318. (10.1016/j.jbankfin.2011.05.013).

Yildirim, H. S.,  Philippatos, G. C. (2002). Efficiency of banks: Recent evidence from the transition economies of Europe, 1993–2003. Unpublished Paper, University of Tennessee, April.

Yuksel, A. (2011). Türkiye’de KOBİ’lerin banka kredilerine erişimi. Devlet Planlama Teşkilatı, Uzmanlık Tezi.




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1453/jepe.v1i1.25

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.




.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................

Journal of Economics and Political Economy - J. Econ. Pol. Econ. - JEPE - www.kspjournals.org

ISSN: 2148-8347

Editor: jepe@ksplibrary.org   Secretarial: secretarial@ksplibrary.org   Istanbul - Turkey.

Copyright © KSP Library